The results of the latest political survey carried out by the Centre for Studies and Opinion Polls (CESOP), of Universidade Católica Portuguesa, are already available and cover the following topics: voting intentions in the legislative elections; evaluation of the President; evaluation of the Government; evaluation of Luís Montenegro; war in Ukraine; TAP; teachers; and the state of the country and living conditions of the Portuguese. 

The data collected paints a picture of a country that is disillusioned with the government's actions but does not yet see an alternative in the opposition.

The poll shows a 6 percentage point (p.p.) drop in the PS vote, which the PSD is unable to capitalise on; the greater dispersion of the vote between parties, with gains on the left and, above all, on the right of these two parties with the most central position in the Portuguese system.

The data collected shows that President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, although he no longer enjoys consensus approval, remains the current political actor with the greatest capital of trust and credibility among the Portuguese. As for Luís Montenegro, the PSD leader's rating is not much better than that of Rui Rio.

On the war in Ukraine, respondents sympathise with the Ukrainian people, foresee a long conflict, support the sending of military equipment and show a willingness to accept more refugees.

Technical information

This survey was conducted by CESOP-Universidade Católica Portuguesa for RTP, Antena 1 and Público between 9 and 17 February 2023. The target population consists of voters living in Portugal. Respondents were randomly selected from a randomly generated list of mobile phone numbers. All interviews were conducted by telephone (CATI). Respondents were informed of the purpose of the study and agreed to participate. A total of 1002 valid enquiries were received, and 46% of respondents were women. Geographical distribution: 29% from the North Region, 20% from the Centre, 37% from the A.M. of Lisbon, 7% from the Alentejo, 4% from the Algarve, 2% from Madeira and 2% from the Azores. All the results obtained were then weighted according to the distribution of the population by sex, age group and region, based on the electoral census and INE estimates. The response rate was 26%. The maximum margin of error associated with a sample of 1002 respondents is 3.1%, with a confidence level of 95%.